Statistical case
Viktoria Plzen are the pick to win, but the recent sample does not support treating this as a certainty. Across their last five matches they scored 6 and conceded 8, with one win, one draw and three defeats. Their home results in that run were mixed: a 3-0 league win, a 0-3 Europa League loss and a 2-3 defeat. Levski’s last five produced 5 goals scored and 5 conceded, and their record was two wins, two draws and one loss. That steadier sequence is a reason to keep confidence at medium rather than high.
Goal-rate comparison: Plzen’s recent matches averaged 2.8 total goals per game, compared with 2.0 for Levski. Levski kept clean sheets in three of those five fixtures, while Plzen conceded in three of five and allowed three goals twice. The overall samples point toward a home edge, but also toward a match that may stay below the 2.5 line if Levski defend as they have recently. A 2-0 scoreline fits both the home-win selection and the under.
- Plzen’s home advantage and the 1.700 home price support the 1x2 pick.
- The 0.75 handicap is a narrower call: a one-goal home win would only partly cover it, but Plzen can still take this selection.
- The three listed head-to-heads are old friendlies: Plzen won twice and drew once, useful context but weak evidence for current form.
No player names or season goals, assists, or appearance totals are included in the supplied data. The available player-stat record is therefore 0, so assigning figures to specific players would be invention rather than statistical analysis. This forecast relies on the match results and scoring record provided.
- Plzen have home advantage and a stronger historical H2H record
- Levski are unbeaten in four of their last five matches
- Levski's recent matches average 2.0 total goals


