Statistical assessment
Besiktas are my 1x2 pick, mainly because their recent home output is substantially stronger than Palace’s away scoring. Across the five supplied matches, Besiktas scored 14 and conceded 7: 2.8 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per match. Palace scored 9 and conceded 6: 1.8 scored and 1.2 conceded per match. Palace have been a little tighter defensively overall, but Besiktas’ attacking rate is one goal per match higher.
The home split strengthens that case. Besiktas won all three listed home games, scoring 9 and conceding 2, including a 4-1 Europa League win over Marseille. Palace’s two listed away games produced a 2-3 defeat at Lyon and a 0-0 draw at Leeds: 1 goal scored and 1.5 conceded per away match. Those are small samples, but they support a home lean. The market prices Besiktas at 2.550 and Palace at 2.700, so the odds are close; the home scoring pattern gives me reason to side with Besiktas rather than the marginally shorter away price. No head-to-head results are supplied.
Over 3.0 is a modest-confidence selection. Besiktas’ recent matches averaged 4.2 total goals, and Palace’s averaged 3.0. A 3-1 scoreline gives four goals, consistent with both the over pick and a Besiktas win. The handicap line is missing from the supplied odds, so I use 0 as a level-handicap interpretation and keep confidence low; on that basis, Besiktas are the selection.
Player season goals, assists and appearances are not included in the data: there are 0 named-player statistical records to cite. I will not invent individual totals. The conclusion therefore rests on the provided team results and home/away splits.
- Besiktas’ home results provide the clearest form advantage.
- Palace’s away scoring sample is limited and comparatively modest.
- Recent aggregate goals support a 3-1 prediction and the over.
- Besiktas scored 9 and conceded 2 in their last three home games
- Recent goals per match: Besiktas 2.8; Palace 1.8
- Both teams' recent matches suggest scoring potential; player and H2H data absent


