● Thai League 1 · 4Kickoff 9 Oct 2026, 19:00

Ratchaburi FC vs Sukhothai Prediction, Preview & Predicted Score

Prediction generated8 Oct 2026, 19:00Updated9 Oct 2026, 21:10models3/3◑ Partial

Home

Ratchaburi FC

6 - 0

Predicted Result: 2 - 0 · RATCHABURI WIN

2/3 Markets correct

Away

Sukhothai

● AI agreement

2/3for Ratchaburi FC win

Ratchaburi FC win67% · GPT · Gemini

● Disagree (DeepSeek)33%

● Key factors

Ratchaburi's home advantage and unbeaten H2H at home in last two meetings.
Sukhothai's poor away form: zero goals in last two away league games.
Ratchaburi's upcoming ACL fixture may cause rotation but still strong enough.
Both teams' recent league matches trend towards low-scoring affairs.
Head-to-head record is even, but Ratchaburi won the most recent encounter.

What all 3 AI models say

Compare each model's pick and confidence before reading the full reasoning below.

✓

GPT

RATCHABURI WIN

2 - 0

Confidence 60%

✓

Gemini

RATCHABURI WIN

Confidence 75%

✗

DeepSeek

DRAW

1 - 1

Confidence 60%

Recent form

Each team's last 5 matches from the data used by AI.

Ratchaburi FC7/15 pts

20 Sept 2026@Rayong FC1-1D
15 Sept 2026vsShanghai Port4-6L
11 Sept 2026vsBangkok United FC1-0W
6 Sept 2026@Ayutthaya United1-2L
29 Aug 2026vsBangkok FC5-0W

Sukhothai6/15 pts

20 Sept 2026vsPort FC2-1W
13 Sept 2026@Prachuap Khiri Khan0-1L
6 Sept 2026vsBuriram United1-3L
10 May 2026vsMuang Thong United3-0W
2 May 2026@Nakhon Ratchasima0-1L

AI Reasoning Summary

Consensus Analysis: Ratchaburi FC vs Sukhothai

1) Model Agreement Summary
Two of the three AI models (GPT and Gemini) predict a home win for Ratchaburi FC, while DeepSeek identifies the draw as the value pick. All models that provided an over/under opinion lean towards under 2.5 goals, and the handicap consensus favours Ratchaburi -0.75. The predicted scores vary from 2-0 to 1-1, but the majority view supports a narrow home victory.

2) Key Factors

Ratchaburi's home advantage is significant; they are unbeaten in the last two home H2H meetings (1-0 and 2-2) and recently beat Bangkok United 1-0 at home.
Sukhothai's away form is a major concern: they have failed to score in their last two away league matches (0-1 vs Prachuap and 0-1 vs Nakhon Ratchasima), highlighting a blunt attack on the road.
Ratchaburi face an upcoming AFC Champions League Elite fixture against Kyoto Sanga on 13 October, which could force squad rotation or reduced intensity, but their squad depth should still manage a result against a struggling Sukhothai side.
Both teams' recent league matches have trended towards low-scoring affairs: Ratchaburi's last three league games produced 3 goals total (1-1, 1-0, 1-2), while Sukhothai's last five league games averaged 2.4 goals, with two 0-1 away losses.
The head-to-head record is evenly balanced (2 wins each, 1 draw in last 5), but Ratchaburi won the most recent meeting 2-1 away, suggesting a slight psychological edge.

3) Where Models Disagree
DeepSeek argues that the draw is underpriced at 3.60 and that Ratchaburi's ACL congestion and leaky defence (conceded 6 vs Shanghai Port) make them vulnerable. Sukhothai, being fresher and having upset Port FC 2-1, could snatch a point. In contrast, GPT and Gemini trust Ratchaburi's home form and Sukhothai's away struggles, expecting a clean sheet and a comfortable win. The disagreement centres on whether Ratchaburi's extra commitments and defensive lapses will be enough to derail them.

4) Final Consensus Verdict
After weighing all evidence, the consensus leans towards a Ratchaburi home win with under 2.5 goals. The handicap line of -0.75 is likely to be covered if Ratchaburi can score early, but a one-goal margin is the most probable outcome. The predicted score of 2-0 reflects the balance of probabilities, though a 1-0 or 2-1 cannot be ruled out. Confidence is medium due to the model disagreement and Ratchaburi's inconsistent recent performances. Bettors should monitor team news for any rotation due to the ACL fixture, but overall the home side should have enough to secure three points.

Detailed reasons from each model

Full AI responses explaining the reasoning path, starting with the majority view and then different views.

GPT

Predicted: Ratchaburi FC win

Confidence 60%

Statistical pick: Ratchaburi FC 2-0 Sukhothai

The numbers lean to Ratchaburi at home, but not through a wild scoreline. Ratchaburi’s last five in all competitions show a noisy profile: 12 scored and 9 conceded, or Home form inflated by the 5-0 friendly and the 4-6 ACLE match. When restricted to recent Thai League fixtures, the picture is tighter: 3 scored and 3 conceded across three league matches, including a 1-0 home win over Bangkok United FC. Sukhothai’s recent five show 6 scored and 6 conceded, but their away split is the key: Prachuap Khiri Khan 1-0 Sukhothai and Nakhon Ratchasima 1-0 Sukhothai mean Away: 0.0 goals/match scored in the last two away games vs Home: Ratchaburi 1.0 goals/match conceded in recent league play.

The head-to-head record is balanced overall, but the venue matters. At Ratchaburi, the last two league meetings ended 1-0 and 2-2, with Ratchaburi unbeaten. The latest H2H was also a Ratchaburi away win, 2-1, so the matchup trend has swung back toward the home side. Player output also supports a narrow home edge rather than a goal festival: Ratchaburi list three separate None players on 1G 0A, including one with 1G in 1 app and rating 7.1, while Sukhothai’s best listed contributor is None with 2G 0A in 2 apps, plus another None on 1G 0A in 2 apps. Sukhothai have individual finishing, but the away pattern has been blunt.

1x2: Ratchaburi home win is the pick because the away scoring trend is weak.
Handicap: At -0.75, a 2-0 projection clears the home line.
O/U: Under 2.5 is riskier because both teams have occasional spikes, but recent league and away data point lower.

Key factors

Sukhothai have lost recent away games without scoring
Ratchaburi are stronger at home in this H2H matchup
Recent league scoring points more to control than a shootout

Gemini

Predicted: Ratchaburi FC win

Confidence 75%

Prediction output was truncated.

Partial fields recovered.

Key factors

Prediction output was truncated.
Partial fields recovered.

DeepSeek

Predicted: DRAW

Confidence 60%

Market signal: the draw is the value

Market signal: The market has priced Ratchaburi as a home favourite around 1.80, with the draw at 3.60 and Sukhothai at 4.00. That implies roughly 55.6% for Ratchaburi, 27.8% for the draw and 25.0% for Sukhothai before overround. After normalising, the fair probabilities sit near 52% / 26% / 22%. I think the market is overvaluing Ratchaburi’s ability to win comfortably. Their recent league form is patchy: a 1-1 draw at Rayong, a 1-2 loss at Ayutthaya and a narrow 1-0 home win over Bangkok United. They also conceded six in the ACLE against Shanghai Port and have a midweek ACL fixture at Kyoto Sanga on 13 October, which could force rotation or reduced intensity.

Sukhothai are fresher, with no midweek game, and showed they can upset stronger teams by beating Port FC 2-1. Their away form is poor — two 0-1 losses — but that is already baked into the price. The head-to-head at Ratchaburi is 1-0 and 2-2, and the last five H2H meetings are extremely even (two wins each, one draw, 6-6 on aggregate). The draw at 3.60 is therefore the fat price. I am backing the 1-1 correct score, which also fits the under 2.5 goals line: Sukhothai have scored zero in their last two away league games, while Ratchaburi’s home league game against Bangkok United finished 1-0. The handicap line of -0.75 is too generous to Ratchaburi; Sukhothai +0.75 wins outright if the game is drawn and only loses half if Ratchaburi win by exactly one. That is a classic value position against a popular home favourite.

Implied probabilities favour Ratchaburi but the draw is underpriced at 3.60.
Ratchaburi have ACLE congestion and leaky recent defence; Sukhothai are fresher.
H2H is even and low-scoring; 1-1 fits under 2.5 and Sukhothai +0.75.

Key factors

Implied 1x2: Ratchaburi ~52%, draw ~28%, Sukhothai ~25% after vig; draw is value.
Ratchaburi face ACLE congestion and leaky defence; Sukhothai are fresher.
H2H even and low-scoring; 1-1 fits under 2.5 and Sukhothai +0.75.

Players to watch

Season stats for players likely to affect the match.

Ratchaburi FC

Unknown

G1A0RTG6.5

Unknown

G1A0RTG6.35

Unknown

G1A0RTG7.1

Unknown

G0A0RTG6.6

Unknown

G0A0RTG6.4

Unknown

G0A0RTG6.15

Unknown

G0A0RTG6.8

Unknown

G0A0RTG6.1

Sukhothai

Unknown

G2A0RTG6.65

Unknown

G1A0RTG5.95

Unknown

G0A0RTG6.6

Unknown

G0A0RTG6.2

Unknown

G0A0RTG6.4

Unknown

G0A1RTG6.75

Unknown

G0A0RTG5.85

Unknown

G0A0RTG5.8